missing 411: the hunted cases

Im really only qualified to speculate on the first question. Or to put it another way, a pattern of correlations is when the same things keep happening more frequently than they should by chance, while a pattern of coincidences is when unique, extremely unlikely events keep happening in connection to a person, event, phenomenon, etc. While you could come across a person randomly in the forest, it is much harder to be able to single people out, avoid being killed by our weapons (or leaving the dead to be found by us), and cover ones tracks. These could have involved a more invasive examination or procedure focused on the brain, and while they fortunately seem rare, especially to the extreme of cow mutilations, there are such cases. This is why one should look into the work of people like Steph Young or various other paranormal investigators. This means that in order for this profile point to mean something more interesting, the person would have to be found despite the bad weather, in a place they shouldnt have been, and either alive when they should have died of exposure, or dead with no clear cause of death when they should have still been alive. Buy Missing 411: The Hunted - Microsoft Store The religion and military connection may also be connected to a specific cultural grudge, but what they imply to me is that maybe any targeting would be more of an issue of neurology rather than genetics. Daves criteria for the sample selection seem completely reasonable to me a case being unexplained is an objective fact. This is another strong profile point, given that the most likely explanations are the body being dropped there to be found, or perhaps a temporal displacement. My theory regarding coincidences is that if you have a sufficiently complete knowledge, you can use it to communicate with people or steer them using coincidences (by manipulating irrelevant details of situations around them so that only they will notice that something noteworthy is going on). Medical emergency would then prevent you from wandering away very far, unless it was a psychotic break, but regardless, many of the missing were in excellent physical and mental health. Then again, at this point, its not much more than entertaining fiction. Maybe there are more younger and older people visiting the parks in general, maybe its more of a white or specifically German cultural thing in general, maybe people with disabilities, geniuses, or athletes should be over-represented. If you could use portals to get in and out of them, that would help a lot, but all the technology you need is a camouflaged door. Yes, you are supposed to be thinking of Dirk Gently. When all you understand couldnt have happened, it points to none of that. Upon reading the Eastern book, it is really simplistic and pretty cut and dry. At the same time, however, getting as many people to know and think about this is key, as it directly defeats the main objectives of the hypothetical adversary (remaining hidden and keeping potential targets unaware). The clearest one is the account of being taken into a cave with robots and then asked to poop on a foil, but a similar conclusion can be drawn from less obvious accounts, like the one about there being continuous sunlight for several days. There is a chance that at least some perpetrators would slip up and instead of the most opportune times and dates go for a compromise between opportune times and times convenient for them. Missing 411: The Hunted - Sasquatch Chronicles But if theyre after exceptional (and therefore potentially valuable) targets, they cant hide that, or even necessarily be able to do without specific targets, however unlikely those target people are to get lost or succumb to the elements. They even mentioned a hunter explaining that some hunters follow bad weather intentionally to catch more prey. Similarly, as I have heard someone theorize, you may want to remove their shoes first so that they cant run away from you very easily, or maybe youd steal their clothing so that they more quickly succumb to the elements if they somehow ran away from wherever youre holding them thats presumably some kind of shelter, base, or vehicle. One that I will totally use in some of my sci-fi or fantasy stories. On this note, I like Daves more recent approach of looking for almost-Missing 411 cases that are substantiated with hard evidence, like those included in the most recent documentary (featuring the Bigfoot audio recording and the predator photo). At the very least, it would require a vast, perfect conspiracy, and thats never a good go-to explanation. Of course, proving that the times and dates at which people get lost mysteriously are normal times at which theres an opportunity to get lost doesnt prove that the disappearances are entirely mundane. It covers the cases of multiple hunters who disappeared without a trace in the United States. For the first three-fourths or so of the documentary, we're under the impression that they seem to be easy targets for killers or maybe incredibly accident prone. With all that said, it would be interesting to take all of the people with the German origin within the Missing 411 sample and check whether their ancestors come from all over Germany, or if they all come from a specific region or regions inside of Germany (or Austria or Switzerland). James McGrogan - Missing 411. Tristan White, 4 Years, Missing November 22, 2006, Minnesota. This one is of course extremely tragic, but that only gives you literally all of the reasons why everyone should study this. Because of this predictable universal connection, this profile point by itself doesnt necessarily mean anything strange on its own. Without that, theres no point in speculating any further. David Paulides - Wikipedia 4.43. In other words, youd expect these two things to correlate. If there is evidence that something weird was going on with the dog, thats the part that should be focused on, in my opinion presence of inexplicable evidence is always more interesting than a correlation alone. I certainly wouldnt be surprised if these were more common for Missing 411 cases than in the general population or among normal park visitors, though it would be interesting to see exactly how much more or less common they are for normal disappearances in the same areas. And sure, tests have to be named something and there is a limited number of letters in the alphabet. Maybe if in all of the cases, the phone lost charge too quickly, it would be less strange, but thats only the case sometimes. And dont even get me started on synchronicity and how you absolutely would want to use systemic coincidences in order to manage a simulated (or similarly controlled) world. With all the insults out of the way, lets look at the profile points. If its correct, I bet that benevolent gods would use coincidence to aid us and trickster gods to amuse themselves. If the point was that you need to work with or study specific genetic markers, given that Germans are, ironically, one of the least genetically pure groups in the world. Similarly, some traits like high intelligence, excellent physical condition, or relevant expertise and preparation are inherently suspicious, even if they happen in statistically insignificant numbers. Get Missing 411: The Hunted from the Microsoft Store In the last act, a twist no one saw . The person could have intentionally vanished. Speaking of animals, theres of course the dog whistle or similar techniques that could certainly be used to make a dog run into a forest to make its master follow him, and a variety of more sophisticated technologies currently under development, mainly to be used as forms of crowd control. Thats roughly a bit odd to the fourth power. If the person was seen, say, falling of a cliff, then that would be an explanation, just like it should be easier to find someone when youd seen where exactly they entered the forest, at what speed, and in what state of mind. If I sum it all up: This about covers what I would like to say about this subject at this moment in time. Hunters have disappeared from wildlands without a trace for hundreds of years. Dogs arent machines, which inevitably means they must have some sort of rate of error, some better and worse days, while scent can be affected by environmental conditions. I do agree with Dave that it is safe to assume that places typically get named for a reason, especially if the name sounds ominous, like Devils, Demons, or Hells something or other. Thats what Dave was doing regarding Bigfoot. Heck, theres even a consensus in the cryptid community, as far as I can tell, that while bigfoot-type cryptids find themselves ethically speaking on the same range as humans (including benevolence), dogmen and skinwalkers are almost always strictly malevolent, or at least much more aggressive and dangerous. When Paulides runs into a Pavlides when on one of these cases, a thing that has never happened to him before or since and which doesnt have to happen over an entire lifetime at all, that counts as a bit odd. The dog returning back safely also makes sense in the context of human or other intelligent predation, since when someone is interested in a particular person as a target, they dont have any obvious reason to also hurt their dog (other than to make it run into the forest as a distraction). Which is an issue that we have already encountered with self-driving cars. This one focuses a lot on hunters, people that typically know what they're doing in the woods / wouldn't do something stupid resulting in their disappearance. The only theory other than aliens was KGB, or some sort of organized crime hit, but then it isnt clear why the agents or criminals would fail to properly dress the guy. Missing 411: The Hunted | Apple TV (KH) Nazis were in fact spectacularly wrong about the Arian race, especially in the sense that the Germans are it (theyre not) or that theyre exceptional (not by any objective metric). Well, apart from the stories of people who got lost suddenly in familiar territory, but only temporarily and with full memory of the event, which means that they didnt qualify as Missing 411 cases. Beyond the basic scientific considerations, its important to understand that we may be doing research here against an intelligent adversary, which complicates things. What makes it so tough is that I dont think you can determine when it was a failure, and when there was nothing to be found. Profiling is in some ways similar to cherry-picking, but the science of it is more complicated. 3. In contrast, hallucinations should be much more common. Worldbuilder, magister, change catalyst. Neurology-based research and technology would also help explain why the causes of death are so difficult to identify in many of these cases. No one anywhere has ever seen these people enter water. However, the understanding that there is such a connection between naming conventions and occurrence of a particular type of disappearance could be used as a lead to determine which places to investigate, either with priority, more thoroughly, or further back into the past. Perhaps an evidence of that could be uncovered for some of the cases, for example by checking any street footage for suspicious vehicles outside of the victims residence. Theres bound to be some sort of infrastructure for this, especially since it is a global phenomenon and since having the staff of the establishment where you want to disappear someone on your side or having infiltrated the school which your potential targets attend would make everything much easier. And even then, there often still should have been enough time to use the phone to report or record what happened. Much like it is with Daves trust in the ability of searchers to conduct proper searches, Dave also doesnt question the ability of canines to find scent. Its basically just as magic as teleportation. The unusual death following a plot of a movie, an unusual plot, moves this coincidence to about a bit odd to the sixth power. This profile point may be one of the more normal ones, as it makes a lot of sense that if you have a dog with you and the dog for whatever reason decides to run off into the forest, you chasing after it can rather easily lead to you getting lost. It makes for good storytelling, and beyond that, its important to understand that everyone has a bias. Thankfully, though it would explain why you would remove someones clothing, we can rule out the sexual motive, as theres no evidence that this type of attack is what the Missing 411 cases are about. All of which are attributes that should be connected with strange disappearances, if you think about it. Most of this was pretty much what I expected having some idea of what David Paulides has investigated but if you have Amazon Prime and are interested, call this up and go to about about an hour and 15 minutes in and listen to the audio these guys recorded. An isolated concurrence so unlikely that its suspicious by itself. The whole idea of the movie The Prestige about rival illusionists is that the most impossible magic trick is teleportation. Remember, Occams razor does not exclude something I dont understand happened. Of course, that says nothing about who these aliens are, only that theyre organized. Like his idea of a probability-based engine many macroscopic physical laws are only aggregates of chaotic movements and interactions going on at the subatomic level. Id wager that afternoon is the time during which forests see the highest levels of traffic. You can watch both productions here on Amazon. Not wholly impossible, but an extreme leap nonetheless. Paulides has written a series of books under the title, "Missing 411." the books detail hundreds of these cases and locations. And even if the issue was some natural phenomenon, state of mind or mentality can affect awareness and behavioral responses. Scientists do this all the time. If you enjoyed it, there are several Missing 411 Books too! As I was listening to various cryptid-related podcasts and shows, I have also encountered mentions of a possible conflict raging between bigfoot and dogmen/skinwalkers. Some of these factors are inherently unusual, requiring at the very least a sudden psychotic break or a chain of bad decisions, while others are unusual through the rate at which they correlate with these cases, and yet others seem utterly impossible all by themselves. Which sort of plays into the possibility that Dave often mentions of people dying essentially of fear, like when being kidnapped and burned by what may seem like aliens, even if it were human agents. Dave also likes to cite one case in which the police officers noticed that the subject who lost his shoes had clean socks, after apparently traveling on his own for several miles through a muddy area. On November 15, 2015, Thomas Messick Sr., aged 82, an ex-paratrooper, walked into the woods south of Brant Lake in NY State, to hunt for deer and was never seen again. There are also plenty of weird, and weirdly specific, clothing-related instructions in the fairy lore, like that in order to ward them off, you should turn your clothing inside out. Paulides shares several perplexing mysteries and investigations. And even in the absence of that, the Czech Republic is crisscrossed with a network of marked tourist trails, with marks dotting trees and rocks along almost all trails that exist in our forests. This is also one of the profile points that may simply cause people not to be found, at all or in time to save the person, reversing the causality. Maybe some of the people who died had an allergic reaction to whatever method of incapacitation or memory wipe was used. Maybe a comparison of natural features of these places can yield interesting correlations. The Very Strange disappearance of Tom Messick whilst hunting near Brant No sign of him or his belongings ever turned up, including a rifle and walkie-talkie, despite a large search of the area, Unusually the FBI was even involved in the investigation. Ive been trying to find the best data that doesnt fit with the dominant paradigm of what is or isnt supposed to be physically possible.
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